Causal Reasoning
P3Distinguish correlation from causation — the passage says X and Y appear together, the distractor says X caused Y.
Understanding this concept
Distractor pattern P3. The passage may note that "higher education spending and economic growth appeared simultaneously in the data." A distractor transforms this into "education spending caused economic growth." The passage established co-occurrence, not causation. Watch for causal language: caused, led to, resulted in, produced, triggered.
How to defend against it
- Flag any causal claim in an option: "caused," "led to," "resulted in"
- Check: does the passage establish causation or merely correlation/co-occurrence?
- Temporal sequence (X happened before Y) does not prove causation
- Correlation language in the passage: "associated with," "correlated," "appeared alongside"
Example
Passage: "Countries with higher renewable energy adoption also report lower carbon emissions." Trap: "Renewable energy adoption reduces carbon emissions." The passage states a correlation, not a mechanism.