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Causal Reasoning

P3

Distinguish correlation from causation — the passage says X and Y appear together, the distractor says X caused Y.

Understanding this concept

Distractor pattern P3. The passage may note that "higher education spending and economic growth appeared simultaneously in the data." A distractor transforms this into "education spending caused economic growth." The passage established co-occurrence, not causation. Watch for causal language: caused, led to, resulted in, produced, triggered.

How to defend against it

  • Flag any causal claim in an option: "caused," "led to," "resulted in"
  • Check: does the passage establish causation or merely correlation/co-occurrence?
  • Temporal sequence (X happened before Y) does not prove causation
  • Correlation language in the passage: "associated with," "correlated," "appeared alongside"

Example

Passage: "Countries with higher renewable energy adoption also report lower carbon emissions." Trap: "Renewable energy adoption reduces carbon emissions." The passage states a correlation, not a mechanism.